Bitcoin (BTC) defied the odds in September by posting a gain of 7.3%. Since 2013, September has been BTC’s worst-performing month in terms of average monthly returns. Prior to this year, BTC had averaged -4.8% in September. While that average has now improved slightly to -3.8%, it has not been enough for September to shed its reputation as ‘Bitcoin’s least favourite month’, as per CoinGlass.
Speaking of seasonal data, with Q4 having just started, BTC is now in what has historically been its best-performing quarter on average (+81.2%). Will history repeat?
Bitcoin quarterly returns (%) since 2013 (Source: Glassnode)
Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. recorded their eighth consecutive day of inflows earlier this week. This follows $1.6B ($1.1B USD) of net inflows last week, a 10-week high.
In related news from the past fortnight, ETF adoption may be set to climb further after the U.S. Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) approved options tied to BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF. According to Jeff Park, head of alpha strategies and portfolio manager at Bitwise Asset Management, the approval “marks the most monumental advancement possible for the crypto market.”
As per a recent report commissioned by macro analyst Lyn Alden, Bitcoin’s price has historically been strongly correlated with movements in global liquidity. This metric—which measures the flow of cash savings and credit through the global financial system—looks set to continue growing due to two events in September:
The second half of September was filled with crypto announcements from well-known companies and financial institutions:
Several well-known cryptocurrencies will host their annual conferences in the coming weeks. Monitoring these events via social media can be worthwhile, as they are often a useful source of information regarding the fundamental progress of a given project.
Project | Event (Date) |
---|---|
XRP (XRP) | Ripple Swell (Oct. 15–16) |
Stellar (XLM) | Meridian 2024 (Oct. 15–17) |
Avalanche (AVAX) | Avalanche Summit LATAM (Oct. 16–18) |
Cosmos Hub (ATOM) | Cosmoverse (Oct. 21–23) |
Cardano (ADA) | Cardano Summit (Oct. 23–24) |
Chainlink (LINK) | SmartCon (Oct. 30–31) |
Ethereum (ETH) | Devcon (Nov. 12–15) |